According to a recent article by the BBC, the above title of this piece has become a popular Google search term. Its increase since the end of July, reflecting travellers’ growing concern about visiting Hong Kong, may not come as much of a surprise now that Hong Kong pro-democracy protests have become a daily fixture. That a number of countries – including the US, UK, Australia, Ireland, Japan, Taiwan and South Korea – have issued travel warnings for Hong Kong, also hit people’s confidence about answering that question, “Is Hong Kong safe?”.

Which raises another question: what may be the impact on tourism to Hong Kong? Media images of violent clashes between police and protesters, combined with the travel warnings, are already affecting hotel and flight bookings which have gone down sharply for August and September. However, in an analysis by Skift, a travel media and marketing platform, the overall sentiment with major hotels in Hong Kong is that their city will bounce back in the longer term to regain its position as one of the biggest tourist hubs in the world.

Is Hong Kong safe?
The Piu Sik or Floating Colours Parade – photo Hong Kong Tourism Board

With ongoing clashes on the streets of Hong Kong, shops with closed shutters, and even the city’s airport briefly closed, their sentiment may feel overly optimistic. However, you only need to look at other tourist hot spots that have experienced far more violent events – from terrorist bombings in Paris and Brussels to violent clashes between “red shirts” and “yellow shirts” in Bangkok – to learn that the memory of homo touristicus is usually not very long term. Moreover, while news media understandably publish images of only the clashes between police and protesters, it doesn’t mean that the entire city is in chaos. Nor has there been any evidence that tourists are in any danger. So, is Hong Kong safe or not?

Thailand tourist arrivals graph
This graph showing tourist arrivals in Thailand has small dips during their own political protests and coups – most notably in 2008, 2010 and 2014. Tourist numbers quickly recover after each incident and the upward trend continues year on year. Source

Many expect Hong Kong to be back to normal in the long term. Check out the Hong Kong Arts Festival 2020.

Much will depend on how the situation will evolve from here. If the Hong Kong government – and by extension the Chinese – continue to refuse to listen to the protestors’ concerns, the latter’s frustrations will only grow. And although the rallies have been largely peaceful, they are more frequently ending in violent confrontation with police.

Given the mainland Chinese record on how it deals with pro-democracy protests, there’s very little hope it will listen to even some of the protesters’ demands. Establishing real dialogue and looking for a peaceful solution is the only way out for a quick recovery of Hong Kong’s tourist industry and its reputation as one of the safest big cities in the world to visit.

Opportunistic travellers may later even be in for a treat of discounted hotel rooms and other perks to lure them back. If, however, the Hong Kong and Beijing governments don’t budge and take more drastic action, as they have threatened to do, it will be anybody’s guess what may be the impact on Hong Kong’s long term future as a safe tourist destination.

To stay updated on the latest travel warnings, visit the UK government’s foreign travel advice website.